Archive for May, 2016

LONDON – IS THE BUBBLE BURSTING?

Bell & Company have previously written posts on the potential property bubble developing in London and the South East of England. In the last week there have been murmurs in the financial press that the bubble could indeed be bursting. London, once deemed one of the most secure property investments, is now looking shaky.

A combination of ultra-low interest rates, investors taking advantage of tax breaks to purchase Buy to Lets and foreign investors encouraged by the stable political environment saw prices reach dizzying heights in the Capital.

Just this week however Halifax revealed prices in London fell by 0.8% which is incredibly unusual, nonetheless this fall links with the additional tax on second homes adding 3% on the purchase price.

Nonetheless other signs (across the entire UK) show signs the market has peaked and may decline. Notable sellers are accepting offers on properties 10% below the asking price with the average UK discount in April being c£25,000 up from £21,560 in January this year.

Henry Pryor, a leading housing analyst, has worked through three property recessions  and sights that the current market conditions has a frighteningly familiar feel to it. Mr Pryror adds the following:

With some indicators sighting a fall could occur see the potential example below.

As mentioned above house prices in London and the South East have been continually rising due to constant demand in the area. With this demand starting to wane we could being to see property prices fall and the start of prevalent negative equity for the younger generation of homeowners.

Should you or anyone you know be effected by Negative Equity please contact Bell & Company today on 02895 217373 to arrange your free initial consultation. Our team achieve regular settlements with a variety of lenders and understand how your lender operates. We look forward to meeting you.

 

NEGATIVE EQUITY STILL PREVALENT IN IRELAND


A recent Standard & Poors report cites that 4 out of 10 mortgage borrowers in Ireland are in Negative Equity. Furthermore, 6 out of 10 borrowers in Mortgage Arrears are also in Negative Equity. The average negative equity balance is currently €54, 000.

Given 40 per cent of borrowers find themselves in negative the estimate of those suffering this burden stands at €322, 500. An incredible statistic given we are now a decade on from the housing market crash.

Many have underestimated the problem of negative equity and its effect in Ireland. One issue we see at Bell & Company is that young families are essentially trapped in a property which is not big enough to accommodate them adequately. Accordingly, they are unable to up-size as required. The main catalyst of this issue was mortgages issued with a higher loan to value during the credit boom.

Another consequence of negative equity is that those suffering the burden typically are less inclined to spend which effects everyone. This is known as the “wealth effect” and Ireland is one of the worst performing countries in this aspect compared to others.

And high levels of negative equity feed into the rates charged on variable mortgages. If you are in negative equity you cannot switch to get a better deal, so have accept whatever high rate you are charged by your exploitative bank. What this means is that you may not be in negative equity, but it is playing a role in the high variable or fixed rates you are paying.

Bell & Company understand the burden of negative equity debt, but insist you do not have to be a “mortgage prisoner”. We have assisted borrowers across Ireland to liaise with their lender and secure a property sale despite the negative equity. From here we have successfully negotiated reduced settlements with a variety of core Irish lenders saving our clients often tens of thousands of Euros per case.

Should you or anyone you know be suffering a Negative Equity burden with any lender or associated entity then please call Bell & Company today on +44 (0) 2895 217 373. We always offer a free initial consultation and where feasible will happily travel to meet prospective clients. We look forward to assisting.

Terry Bell

 

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